An expert has projected that the U.S. economy might be headed for a recession in the new year, with timing mostly hinging on ...

Second, asset prices should lead the business cycle. Are these two features borne out by the ... real equity price changes are one of the most useful predictors of recession starts. Chart 2 portrays ...

In four cases (illustrated by the heavier vertical lines), the easing cycle finished with an official recession. As markets ...

Wall Street fears a recession may be coming ... In fact, it has been argued that the housing cycle is important enough to drive the overall business cycle. We’ve seen home prices weaken since ...

I might be accused of an obsession with the yield curve, the graph ... the recession of December 2007–June 2009 resulting ...

It officially declared the last pandemic-driven recession, which lasted from March to April 2020, in July 2021. The problem that the institution's business-dating-cycle program was created to ...